Combat Edge Intelligence

Magomed Bibulatov vs Rogério Bontorin

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

21-3-0Record17-5-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'5"
36,5"Reach67"
136 lbsWeight125 lbs
Fight Club Akhmat· 1683 avg Elo · 20 ratedTeamGile Ribeiro Team

What's at stake

Magomed Bibulatov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Rogério Bontorin carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Magomed BibulatovNow 1706
If they win+11→ 1717
If they lose-13→ 1693
Rogério BontorinNow 1663
If they win+18→ 1681
If they lose-14→ 1649

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1536 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1632 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.60
Sig. strikes / min
2.63
51%
Strike accuracy
53%
1.83
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.27
52%
Strike defense
50%
2.85
Takedown avg.
2.90
40%
Takedown accuracy
60%
75%
Takedown defense
52%
0
Submission avg.
0.97

Trajectory

Magomed BibulatovRogério Bontorin
16501700202220232024

Win method breakdown

6 (29%)
KO/TKO
3 (18%)
5 (24%)
Submission
11 (65%)
10 (48%)
Decision
3 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Rogério Bontorin54%
Magomed Bibulatov 46%Elo baseline: 44%

The Combat Edge model makes Rogério Bontorin a 54% favorite over Magomed Bibulatov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Magomed Bibulatov's way (44%).

Magomed Bibulatov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1706 to 1663, a 43-point edge.

Magomed Bibulatov finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Rogério Bontorin 82%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.