Magomed Bibulatov vs Rogério Bontorin
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-3-0Record17-5-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'5"
36,5"Reach67"
136 lbsWeight125 lbs
Fight Club Akhmat· 1680 avg Elo · 29 ratedTeamGile Ribeiro Team· 1650 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
Magomed Bibulatov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Rogério Bontorin carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1727
If they lose-15→ 1703
If they win+20→ 1653
If they lose-12→ 1621
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1561 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1635 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Magomed BibulatovRogério Bontorin
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rogério Bontorin62%
Magomed Bibulatov 38%Elo baseline: 38%
The Combat Edge model makes Rogério Bontorin a 62% favorite over Magomed Bibulatov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Magomed Bibulatov's way (38%).
Magomed Bibulatov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1718 to 1633, a 85-point edge.
Magomed Bibulatov finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Rogério Bontorin 82%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.