Combat Edge Intelligence

Magomed Magomedkerimov vs Rinat Fakhretdinov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

34-6-0Record24-1-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'0"
73.00"Reach74"
170 lbsWeight171 lbs
American Top TeamTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Magomed MagomedkerimovNow 1805
If they win+12→ 1817
If they lose-12→ 1793
Rinat FakhretdinovNow 1811
If they win+16→ 1827
If they lose-16→ 1795

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1622 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1651 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.78
TBD
Strike accuracy
53%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.58
TBD
Strike defense
54%
TBD
Takedown avg.
3.95
TBD
Takedown accuracy
34%
TBD
Takedown defense
92%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.20

Trajectory

Magomed MagomedkerimovRinat Fakhretdinov
175018002022202320242025

Win method breakdown

13 (38%)
KO/TKO
12 (50%)
10 (29%)
Submission
6 (25%)
11 (32%)
Decision
6 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Rinat Fakhretdinov70%
Magomed Magomedkerimov 30%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Rinat Fakhretdinov a 70% favorite over Magomed Magomedkerimov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1805 vs 1811), separated by just 6 points.

Magomed Magomedkerimov enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Rinat Fakhretdinov enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Magomed Magomedkerimov finishes 68% of wins inside the distance, Rinat Fakhretdinov 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.