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Combat Edge Intelligence

Magomed Malsagov vs Nick Penner

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Nick Penner
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Nick Penner

“The Quiet Assassin”

11-3-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1621Solid

Tale of the tape

5-1-0Record11-3-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'0"
-ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Fight Club Ing FighterTeamFrank Lee's Muay Thai

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Magomed MalsagovNow 1623
If they win+24→ 1647
If they lose-24→ 1599
Nick PennerNow 1621
If they win+16→ 1637
If they lose-16→ 1605

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1513 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1523 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
1.25
Not available
Strike accuracy
30%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.60
Not available
Strike defense
39%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
Not available
Takedown defense
40%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Magomed MalsagovNick Penner
155016001650201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (60%)
KO/TKO
5 (45%)
1 (20%)
Submission
4 (36%)
1 (20%)
Decision
2 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Magomed Malsagov76%
Nick Penner 24%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Magomed Malsagov a 76% favorite over Nick Penner in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1623 vs 1621), separated by just 2 points.

Magomed Malsagov enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Nick Penner enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Magomed Malsagov finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Nick Penner 82%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.