Magomed Mustafaev vs Richie Miranda
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-3-0Record13-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'9"
TBDReach74"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Fight Club Akhmat· 1683 avg Elo · 20 ratedTeamCSW Training Center
What's at stake
Magomed Mustafaev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Richie Miranda carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1720
If they lose-17→ 1688
If they win+17→ 1703
If they lose-15→ 1671
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1608 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1537 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Magomed MustafaevRichie Miranda
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Richie Miranda66%
Magomed Mustafaev 34%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Richie Miranda a 66% favorite over Magomed Mustafaev in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Magomed Mustafaev's way (47%).
Magomed Mustafaev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1705 to 1686, a 19-point edge.
Magomed Mustafaev finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Richie Miranda 62%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.