Combat Edge Intelligence

Magomed Sardalov vs Michael Trizano

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-2-0Record10-3-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'11"
-Reach71"
137 lbsWeight148 lbs
Fight Club Akhmat· 1683 avg Elo · 20 ratedTeamTeam Tiger Schulmann

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Magomed SardalovNow 1668
If they win+16→ 1684
If they lose-16→ 1652
Michael TrizanoNow 1666
If they win+16→ 1682
If they lose-16→ 1650

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1522 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1612 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.63
TBD
Strike accuracy
54%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.40
TBD
Strike defense
51%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.36
TBD
Takedown accuracy
67%
TBD
Takedown defense
73%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.54

Trajectory

Magomed SardalovMichael Trizano
155016001650170020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (45%)
KO/TKO
3 (30%)
2 (18%)
Submission
2 (20%)
4 (36%)
Decision
5 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Magomed Sardalov70%
Michael Trizano 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Magomed Sardalov a 70% favorite over Michael Trizano in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1668 vs 1666), separated by just 2 points.

Magomed Sardalov enters on a 8-fight win streak.

Magomed Sardalov finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Michael Trizano 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.