Combat Edge Intelligence

Magomed Sultanakhmedov vs Marc-André Barriault

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-6-0Record17-11-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'8"Height6'1"
UnknownReach74"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Gorets Fight ClubTeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Magomed SultanakhmedovNow 1636
If they win+12→ 1648
If they lose-12→ 1624
Marc-André BarriaultNow 1638
If they win+12→ 1650
If they lose-12→ 1626

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1504 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1680 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
5.65
TBD
Strike accuracy
47%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.94
TBD
Strike defense
49%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.34
TBD
Takedown accuracy
7%
TBD
Takedown defense
68%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.09

Trajectory

Magomed SultanakhmedovMarc-André Barriault
16501700201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (67%)
KO/TKO
11 (65%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (6%)
6 (33%)
Decision
5 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Marc-André Barriault70%
Magomed Sultanakhmedov 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Marc-André Barriault a 70% favorite over Magomed Sultanakhmedov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1636 vs 1638), separated by just 2 points.

Magomed Sultanakhmedov enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Marc-André Barriault enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Magomed Sultanakhmedov finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Marc-André Barriault 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.