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Combat Edge Intelligence

Magomed Sultanakhmedov vs Mariusz Ksiazkiewicz

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

18-6-0Record11-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'8"Height6'3"
UnknownReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Gorets Fight Club· 1719 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamWinnipeg Academy of MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Magomed SultanakhmedovNow 1615
If they win+12→ 1627
If they lose-12→ 1603
Mariusz KsiazkiewiczNow 1615
If they win+16→ 1631
If they lose-16→ 1599

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1502 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1547 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
0.93
Not available
Strike accuracy
45%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.40
Not available
Strike defense
39%
Not available
Takedown avg.
4
Not available
Takedown accuracy
100%
Not available
Takedown defense
0%
Not available
Submission avg.
2

Trajectory

Magomed SultanakhmedovMariusz Ksiazkiewicz
16001650202320242025

Win method breakdown

12 (67%)
KO/TKO
5 (45%)
0 (0%)
Submission
5 (45%)
6 (33%)
Decision
1 (9%)

Combat Edge model read

Mariusz Ksiazkiewicz61%
Magomed Sultanakhmedov 39%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mariusz Ksiazkiewicz a 61% favorite over Magomed Sultanakhmedov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Magomed Sultanakhmedov's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1615 vs 1615), separated by just 0 points.

Magomed Sultanakhmedov enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Magomed Sultanakhmedov finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Mariusz Ksiazkiewicz 91%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.