Combat Edge Intelligence

Magomed Sulumov vs Marcus LeVesseur

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-5-0Record22-7-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'10"
-ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Fight Club AkhmatTeamMinnesota Fight Factory

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Magomed SulumovNow 1627
If they win+16→ 1643
If they lose-16→ 1611
Marcus LeVesseurNow 1626
If they win+12→ 1638
If they lose-12→ 1614

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1557 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1538 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.55
TBD
Strike accuracy
64%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.70
TBD
Strike defense
38%
TBD
Takedown avg.
3.89
TBD
Takedown accuracy
37%
TBD
Takedown defense
83%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.56

Trajectory

Magomed SulumovMarcus LeVesseur
160016502011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (25%)
KO/TKO
10 (45%)
2 (17%)
Submission
7 (32%)
7 (58%)
Decision
5 (23%)

Combat Edge model read

Magomed Sulumov63%
Marcus LeVesseur 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Magomed Sulumov a 63% favorite over Marcus LeVesseur in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1627 vs 1626), separated by just 1 points.

Magomed Sulumov finishes 42% of wins inside the distance, Marcus LeVesseur 77%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.