Magomed Sulumov vs Vinicius Sacchelli Cenci
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-5-0Record10-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height6'1"
-ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight154 lbs
Fight Club Akhmat· 1683 avg Elo · 20 ratedTeamBrazilian TKO· 1650 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1643
If they lose-16→ 1611
If they win+16→ 1644
If they lose-16→ 1612
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1559 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1515 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Magomed SulumovVinicius Sacchelli Cenci
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Magomed Sulumov52%
Vinicius Sacchelli Cenci 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Magomed Sulumov a 52% favorite over Vinicius Sacchelli Cenci in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Vinicius Sacchelli Cenci's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1627 vs 1628), separated by just 1 points.
Magomed Sulumov finishes 42% of wins inside the distance, Vinicius Sacchelli Cenci 90%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.