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Combat Edge Intelligence

Magomed Umalatov vs Robbie Lawler

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

18-1-0Record30-16-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'11"
75"Reach74"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Eagles MMA· 1815 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Magomed UmalatovNow 1788
If they win+16→ 1804
If they lose-16→ 1772
Robbie LawlerNow 1788
If they win+12→ 1800
If they lose-12→ 1776

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1656 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1762 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
3.85
Not available
Strike accuracy
47%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.67
Not available
Strike defense
59%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0.65
Not available
Takedown accuracy
57%
Not available
Takedown defense
65%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Magomed UmalatovRobbie Lawler
1750180020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

12 (67%)
KO/TKO
22 (73%)
2 (11%)
Submission
1 (3%)
4 (22%)
Decision
7 (23%)

Combat Edge model read

Magomed Umalatov55%
Robbie Lawler 45%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Magomed Umalatov a 55% favorite over Robbie Lawler in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1788 vs 1788), separated by just 0 points.

Magomed Umalatov finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Robbie Lawler 77%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.