Magomed Umalatov vs Shamil Musaev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-1-0Record18-1-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'10"
75"Reach71"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Eagles MMATeamGolden Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1795
If they lose-16→ 1763
If they win+16→ 1796
If they lose-16→ 1764
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1629 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1632 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Magomed UmalatovShamil Musaev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Shamil Musaev60%
Magomed Umalatov 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Shamil Musaev a 60% favorite over Magomed Umalatov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1779 vs 1780), separated by just 1 points.
Magomed Umalatov finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Shamil Musaev 78%.
Magomed Umalatov carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.