Magomed Zaynukov vs Robert Watley
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-0-0Record16-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'9"
68" Reach75"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Abdulmanap Nurmagomedov School· 1726 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamConquest BJJ
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1715
If they lose-24→ 1667
If they win+16→ 1706
If they lose-16→ 1674
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1517 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1614 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Magomed ZaynukovRobert Watley
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Robert Watley54%
Magomed Zaynukov 46%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Robert Watley a 54% favorite over Magomed Zaynukov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Magomed Zaynukov's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1691 vs 1690), separated by just 1 points.
Magomed Zaynukov enters on a 9-fight win streak.
Robert Watley enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Magomed Zaynukov finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Robert Watley 63%.
Robert Watley carries a 7-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.