Mahamade Demba Samba vs Vadim Ogar
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
1-0-0Record10-8-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'9"
78"Reach-
155 lbsWeight157 lbs
Boxing Squad· 1629 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamK Dojo Warrior Tribe· 1639 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1550
If they lose-24→ 1502
If they win+16→ 1538
If they lose-16→ 1506
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1471 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1534 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Mahamade Demba SambaVadim Ogar
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mahamade Demba Samba68%
Vadim Ogar 32%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Mahamade Demba Samba a 68% favorite over Vadim Ogar in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1526 vs 1522), separated by just 4 points.
Vadim Ogar enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Vadim Ogar 70%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.