Combat Edge Intelligence

Mahamed Aly vs Makoto Takimoto

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

5-2-0Record6-5-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height5'8"
77"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight188 lbs
One Way Martial ArtsTeamYoshida Dojo

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mahamed AlyNow 1568
If they win+24→ 1592
If they lose-24→ 1544
Makoto TakimotoNow 1566
If they win+16→ 1582
If they lose-16→ 1550

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1540 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1599 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Mahamed AlyMakoto Takimoto
155016002008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (80%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (33%)
1 (20%)
Decision
4 (67%)

Combat Edge model read

Mahamed Aly63%
Makoto Takimoto 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mahamed Aly a 63% favorite over Makoto Takimoto in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1568 vs 1566), separated by just 2 points.

Makoto Takimoto enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Mahamed Aly finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Makoto Takimoto 33%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.