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Combat Edge Intelligence

Mahamed Aly vs Seth Kleinbeck

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Seth Kleinbeck
us

Seth Kleinbeck

“Mass Destruction”

8-4-0Light HeavyweightEXC

1567Solid

Tale of the tape

5-2-0Record8-4-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'2"
77"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mahamed AlyNow 1567
If they win+24→ 1591
If they lose-24→ 1543
Seth KleinbeckNow 1567
If they win+16→ 1583
If they lose-16→ 1551

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1537 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1512 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
Not available
Strike accuracy
Not available
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
Not available
Strike defense
Not available
Not available
Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
Not available
Takedown defense
Not available
Not available
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Mahamed AlySeth Kleinbeck
150015501600200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (80%)
KO/TKO
8 (100%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (20%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Mahamed Aly61%
Seth Kleinbeck 39%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mahamed Aly a 61% favorite over Seth Kleinbeck in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1567 vs 1567), separated by just 0 points.

Mahamed Aly finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Seth Kleinbeck 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.