Maheshate Hayisaer vs Nikolas Motta
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
10-5-0Record15-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'8"
71"Reach70"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Enbo Fight ClubTeamNova Uniao
What's at stake
Nikolas Motta is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Maheshate Hayisaer carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1635
If they lose-15→ 1603
If they win+15→ 1657
If they lose-17→ 1625
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1591 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1599 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Maheshate HayisaerNikolas Motta
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Maheshate Hayisaer52%
Nikolas Motta 48%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Maheshate Hayisaer a 52% favorite over Nikolas Motta in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Nikolas Motta's way (47%).
Nikolas Motta holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1642 to 1618, a 24-point edge.
Maheshate Hayisaer enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Maheshate Hayisaer finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Nikolas Motta 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.