Combat Edge Intelligence

Maheshate vs Steve Garcia

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Steve Garcia
us

Steve Garcia

“Mean Machine”

19-6-0FeatherweightUFC

1723Good

Tale of the tape

11-5-0Record19-6-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
6'0"Height6'0"
71"Reach75"
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Enbo Fight Club· 1685 avg Elo · 9 ratedTeamJackson-Wink MMA

What's at stake

Steve Garcia is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Maheshate carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

MaheshateNow 1631
If they win+20→ 1651
If they lose-12→ 1619
Steve GarciaNow 1723
If they win+9→ 1732
If they lose-15→ 1708

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1591 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1670 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.96
Sig. strikes / min
5.39
31%
Strike accuracy
49%
5.96
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.12
52%
Strike defense
59%
0
Takedown avg.
0.86
0%
Takedown accuracy
40%
47%
Takedown defense
89%
0
Submission avg.
0.43

Trajectory

MaheshateSteve Garcia
1600165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (45%)
KO/TKO
15 (79%)
1 (9%)
Submission
0 (0%)
5 (45%)
Decision
4 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Steve Garcia63%
Maheshate 37%Elo baseline: 63%

The Combat Edge model makes Steve Garcia a 63% favorite over Maheshate in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).

Steve Garcia holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1723 to 1631, a 92-point edge.

Maheshate finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Steve Garcia 79%.

Steve Garcia carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.