Maheshate Hayisaer vs Steve Garcia
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-5-0Record19-6-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
6'0"Height6'0"
71"Reach75"
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Enbo Fight ClubTeamJackson-Wink MMA
What's at stake
Steve Garcia is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Maheshate Hayisaer carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1639
If they lose-11→ 1607
If they win+8→ 1731
If they lose-16→ 1707
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1591 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1670 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Maheshate HayisaerSteve Garcia
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Steve Garcia76%
Maheshate Hayisaer 24%Elo baseline: 65%
The Combat Edge model makes Steve Garcia a 76% favorite over Maheshate Hayisaer in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).
Steve Garcia holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1723 to 1618, a 105-point edge.
Maheshate Hayisaer enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Maheshate Hayisaer finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Steve Garcia 79%.
Steve Garcia carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.