Combat Edge Intelligence

Maia Stevenson vs Polyana Viana

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

6-5-0Record13-9-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'4"Height5'7"
35.00Reach67"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Joe Stevenson's Cobra KaiTeamChute Boxe Diego Lima

What's at stake

Polyana Viana is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Maia Stevenson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Maia StevensonNow 1484
If they win+28→ 1512
If they lose-20→ 1464
Polyana VianaNow 1541
If they win+13→ 1554
If they lose-19→ 1522

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1622 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1600 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.57
Sig. strikes / min
2.74
55%
Strike accuracy
40%
3.13
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.50
33%
Strike defense
53%
3.91
Takedown avg.
0.75
100%
Takedown accuracy
33%
50%
Takedown defense
35%
0
Submission avg.
1.69

Trajectory

Maia StevensonPolyana Viana
15001550160020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (50%)
KO/TKO
5 (38%)
2 (33%)
Submission
8 (62%)
1 (17%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Polyana Viana72%
Maia Stevenson 28%Elo baseline: 58%

The Combat Edge model makes Polyana Viana a 72% favorite over Maia Stevenson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).

Polyana Viana holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1541 to 1484, a 57-point edge.

Polyana Viana enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Maia Stevenson finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Polyana Viana 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.