Combat Edge Intelligence

Maiwand Hamras vs Ron Keslar

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

2-2-0Record11-9-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height6'0"
-ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Fightlab MunichTeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy· 1641 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Maiwand HamrasNow 1509
If they win+24→ 1533
If they lose-24→ 1485
Ron KeslarNow 1513
If they win+16→ 1529
If they lose-16→ 1497

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1520 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1538 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
0
TBD
Strike accuracy
0%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.05
TBD
Strike defense
60%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
100%
TBD
Submission avg.
7.69

Trajectory

Maiwand HamrasRon Keslar
1500155016002014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
1 (9%)
2 (100%)
Submission
5 (45%)
0 (0%)
Decision
5 (45%)

Combat Edge model read

Maiwand Hamras60%
Ron Keslar 40%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Maiwand Hamras a 60% favorite over Ron Keslar in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ron Keslar's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1509 vs 1513), separated by just 4 points.

Ron Keslar enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Ron Keslar 55%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.