Maiwand Hamras vs Ryan Madigan
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
2-2-0Record5-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height6'0"
-ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Fightlab MunichTeamJungle Fight Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1533
If they lose-24→ 1485
If they win+24→ 1530
If they lose-24→ 1482
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1520 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1520 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Maiwand HamrasRyan Madigan
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Maiwand Hamras56%
Ryan Madigan 44%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Maiwand Hamras a 56% favorite over Ryan Madigan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1509 vs 1506), separated by just 3 points.
Ryan Madigan enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Ryan Madigan 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.