Combat Edge Intelligence

Makhmud Muradov vs Shamil Erdogan

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

30-8-0Record13-0-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'2"
75"Reach79"
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
Ankos MMA· 1671 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamKrepost Fight Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Makhmud MuradovNow 1736
If they win+12→ 1748
If they lose-12→ 1724
Shamil ErdoganNow 1731
If they win+16→ 1747
If they lose-16→ 1715

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1650 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1516 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.21
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
44%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.57
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
61%
Strike defense
TBD
3.03
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
78%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.19
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Makhmud MuradovShamil Erdogan
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

19 (63%)
KO/TKO
8 (62%)
3 (10%)
Submission
1 (8%)
8 (27%)
Decision
4 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Makhmud Muradov and Shamil Erdogan within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1736 vs 1731), separated by just 5 points.

Makhmud Muradov enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Shamil Erdogan enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Makhmud Muradov finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Shamil Erdogan 69%.

Shamil Erdogan carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.