Combat Edge Intelligence

Makhmud Muradov vs Zak Cummings

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

30-8-0Record25-7-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'0"
75"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
Ankos MMA· 1671 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamFactory X

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Makhmud MuradovNow 1736
If they win+12→ 1748
If they lose-12→ 1724
Zak CummingsNow 1739
If they win+12→ 1751
If they lose-12→ 1727

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1650 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1677 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.21
Sig. strikes / min
2.96
44%
Strike accuracy
36%
2.57
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.91
61%
Strike defense
55%
3.03
Takedown avg.
0.62
0%
Takedown accuracy
28%
78%
Takedown defense
67%
0.19
Submission avg.
0.62

Trajectory

Makhmud MuradovZak Cummings
17001750202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

19 (63%)
KO/TKO
6 (24%)
3 (10%)
Submission
12 (48%)
8 (27%)
Decision
7 (28%)

Combat Edge model read

Makhmud Muradov70%
Zak Cummings 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Makhmud Muradov a 70% favorite over Zak Cummings in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Zak Cummings's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1736 vs 1739), separated by just 3 points.

Makhmud Muradov enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Zak Cummings enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Makhmud Muradov finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Zak Cummings 72%.

Makhmud Muradov and Zak Cummings share 2 common opponents: Trevor Smith and Alessio Di Chirico.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

WinDecision (unanimous) · 2019
Alessio Di Chirico
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2020
WinKO · 2019
Trevor Smith
WinDEC · 2018