Combat Edge Intelligence

Makkasharip Zaynukov vs Mark Madsen

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Mark Madsen
dk

Mark Madsen

“The Olympian”

12-2-0LightweightUFC

1697Good

Tale of the tape

19-5-0Record12-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
72"Reach72"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Makkasharip ZaynukovNow 1695
If they win+16→ 1711
If they lose-16→ 1679
Mark MadsenNow 1697
If they win+16→ 1713
If they lose-16→ 1681

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1575 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1598 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.56
TBD
Strike accuracy
49%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.97
TBD
Strike defense
52%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.86
TBD
Takedown accuracy
67%
TBD
Takedown defense
63%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Makkasharip ZaynukovMark Madsen
16501700175020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (26%)
KO/TKO
3 (25%)
2 (11%)
Submission
3 (25%)
12 (63%)
Decision
6 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Makkasharip Zaynukov73%
Mark Madsen 27%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Makkasharip Zaynukov a 73% favorite over Mark Madsen in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mark Madsen's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1695 vs 1697), separated by just 2 points.

Mark Madsen enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Makkasharip Zaynukov finishes 37% of wins inside the distance, Mark Madsen 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.