Combat Edge Intelligence

Makkasharip Zaynukov vs Natan Schulte

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-4-0Record25-6-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
72"Reach69"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs

What's at stake

Natan Schulte is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Makkasharip Zaynukov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Makkasharip ZaynukovNow 1706
If they win+19→ 1725
If they lose-13→ 1693
Natan SchulteNow 1761
If they win+10→ 1771
If they lose-14→ 1747

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1539 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1657 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
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Strike accuracy
TBD
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
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Strike defense
TBD
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Takedown avg.
TBD
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Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Makkasharip ZaynukovNatan Schulte
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (26%)
KO/TKO
4 (16%)
2 (11%)
Submission
10 (40%)
12 (63%)
Decision
11 (44%)

Combat Edge model read

Natan Schulte63%
Makkasharip Zaynukov 37%Elo baseline: 58%

The Combat Edge model makes Natan Schulte a 63% favorite over Makkasharip Zaynukov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).

Natan Schulte holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1761 to 1706, a 55-point edge.

Makkasharip Zaynukov enters on a 8-fight win streak.

Makkasharip Zaynukov finishes 37% of wins inside the distance, Natan Schulte 56%.

Makkasharip Zaynukov carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.