Combat Edge Intelligence

Makoto Takimoto vs Paulin Begai

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Paulin Begai
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Paulin Begai

“Le Chaat”

8-5-1Light HeavyweightAFC

1567Solid

Tale of the tape

6-5-0Record8-5-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'8"Height6'5"
TBDReach-
188 lbsWeight206 lbs
Yoshida DojoTeamMMA Factory

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Makoto TakimotoNow 1566
If they win+16→ 1582
If they lose-16→ 1550
Paulin BegaiNow 1567
If they win+16→ 1583
If they lose-16→ 1551

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1599 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1535 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Makoto TakimotoPaulin Begai
155016002008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
5 (63%)
2 (33%)
Submission
0 (0%)
4 (67%)
Decision
3 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Paulin Begai53%
Makoto Takimoto 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Paulin Begai a 53% favorite over Makoto Takimoto in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1566 vs 1567), separated by just 1 points.

Makoto Takimoto enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Makoto Takimoto finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Paulin Begai 63%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.