Combat Edge Intelligence

Makwan Amirkhani vs Masio Fullen

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

20-11-0Record15-10-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'10"
72"ReachTBD
156 lbsWeight145 lbs
SBG IrelandTeamAlliance MMA

What's at stake

Makwan Amirkhani is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Masio Fullen carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Makwan AmirkhaniNow 1621
If they win+13→ 1634
If they lose-19→ 1602
Masio FullenNow 1545
If they win+15→ 1560
If they lose-9→ 1536

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1612 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1548 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.33
Sig. strikes / min
2.46
44%
Strike accuracy
32%
2.98
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.50
46%
Strike defense
54%
3.96
Takedown avg.
0.47
15%
Takedown accuracy
33%
36%
Takedown defense
69%
1.05
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Makwan AmirkhaniMasio Fullen
15501600202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

1 (5%)
KO/TKO
6 (40%)
14 (70%)
Submission
6 (40%)
5 (25%)
Decision
3 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Makwan Amirkhani70%
Masio Fullen 30%Elo baseline: 61%

The Combat Edge model makes Makwan Amirkhani a 70% favorite over Masio Fullen in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).

Makwan Amirkhani holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1621 to 1545, a 76-point edge.

Makwan Amirkhani enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Masio Fullen enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Makwan Amirkhani finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Masio Fullen 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.