Combat Edge Intelligence

Makwan Amirkhani vs Mike Wilkinson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

20-11-0Record9-5-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'8"
72"ReachTBD
156 lbsWeight145 lbs
SBG IrelandTeamAtherton Submission Wrestling

What's at stake

Makwan Amirkhani is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Mike Wilkinson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Makwan AmirkhaniNow 1621
If they win+13→ 1634
If they lose-19→ 1602
Mike WilkinsonNow 1561
If they win+19→ 1580
If they lose-13→ 1548

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1612 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1566 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.33
Sig. strikes / min
2.35
44%
Strike accuracy
38%
2.98
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.70
46%
Strike defense
36%
3.96
Takedown avg.
0.92
15%
Takedown accuracy
14%
36%
Takedown defense
56%
1.05
Submission avg.
0.92

Trajectory

Makwan AmirkhaniMike Wilkinson
155016001650201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

1 (5%)
KO/TKO
3 (33%)
14 (70%)
Submission
4 (44%)
5 (25%)
Decision
2 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Makwan Amirkhani70%
Mike Wilkinson 30%Elo baseline: 59%

The Combat Edge model makes Makwan Amirkhani a 70% favorite over Mike Wilkinson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).

Makwan Amirkhani holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1621 to 1561, a 60-point edge.

Makwan Amirkhani enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Mike Wilkinson enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Makwan Amirkhani finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Mike Wilkinson 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.