Combat Edge Intelligence

Makwan Amirkhani vs Murad Kalamov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

20-11-0Record19-9-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'8"
72"Reach66.5"
156 lbsWeight137 lbs
SBG IrelandTeamBerkut FC

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Makwan AmirkhaniNow 1621
If they win+16→ 1637
If they lose-16→ 1605
Murad KalamovNow 1620
If they win+12→ 1632
If they lose-12→ 1608

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1612 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1568 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

1.33
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
44%
Strike accuracy
Not available
2.98
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
46%
Strike defense
Not available
3.96
Takedown avg.
Not available
15%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
36%
Takedown defense
Not available
1.05
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Makwan AmirkhaniMurad Kalamov
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (5%)
KO/TKO
1 (5%)
14 (70%)
Submission
8 (42%)
5 (25%)
Decision
10 (53%)

Combat Edge model read

Murad Kalamov56%
Makwan Amirkhani 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Murad Kalamov a 56% favorite over Makwan Amirkhani in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Makwan Amirkhani's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1621 vs 1620), separated by just 1 points.

Makwan Amirkhani enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Murad Kalamov enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Makwan Amirkhani finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Murad Kalamov 47%.

Makwan Amirkhani carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.