Mal Foki vs Ryo Sakai
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-5-0Record15-16-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'7"Height5'11"
TBDReach-
220 lbsWeight246 lbs
Freelance· 1622 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamRanger Gym
What's at stake
Ryo Sakai is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Mal Foki carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+29→ 1442
If they lose-19→ 1394
If they win+9→ 1499
If they lose-15→ 1475
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1488 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Mal FokiRyo Sakai
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ryo Sakai83%
Mal Foki 17%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Ryo Sakai a 83% favorite over Mal Foki in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Ryo Sakai holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1490 to 1413, a 77-point edge.
Mal Foki enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Ryo Sakai enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Mal Foki finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Ryo Sakai 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.