Combat Edge Intelligence

Malik Basahel vs Marco Beltran

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

4-0-0Record18-10-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'8"
67"Reach39,0"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Asylum Vale TudoTeamAranha Barcelona BJJ

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Malik BasahelNow 1616
If they win+24→ 1640
If they lose-24→ 1592
Marco BeltranNow 1614
If they win+12→ 1626
If they lose-12→ 1602

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1502 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1530 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.07
TBD
Strike accuracy
38%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.93
TBD
Strike defense
63%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.70
TBD
Takedown accuracy
50%
TBD
Takedown defense
46%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.23

Trajectory

Malik BasahelMarco Beltran
15501600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (50%)
KO/TKO
4 (22%)
1 (25%)
Submission
10 (56%)
1 (25%)
Decision
4 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Malik Basahel88%
Marco Beltran 12%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Malik Basahel a 88% favorite over Marco Beltran in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1616 vs 1614), separated by just 2 points.

Malik Basahel enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Marco Beltran enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Malik Basahel finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Marco Beltran 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.