Combat Edge Intelligence

Mallory Martin vs Polyana Viana

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-6-0Record13-9-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'4"Height5'7"
63"Reach67"
116 lbsWeight115 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamChute Boxe Diego Lima

What's at stake

Mallory Martin is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Polyana Viana carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Mallory MartinNow 1601
If they win+13→ 1614
If they lose-19→ 1582
Polyana VianaNow 1541
If they win+19→ 1560
If they lose-13→ 1528

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1556 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1600 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.42
Sig. strikes / min
2.74
49%
Strike accuracy
40%
6.64
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.50
55%
Strike defense
53%
2.28
Takedown avg.
0.75
44%
Takedown accuracy
33%
25%
Takedown defense
35%
0.33
Submission avg.
1.69

Trajectory

Mallory MartinPolyana Viana
1550160020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (20%)
KO/TKO
5 (38%)
2 (20%)
Submission
8 (62%)
6 (60%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Mallory Martin60%
Polyana Viana 40%Elo baseline: 59%

The Combat Edge model makes Mallory Martin a 60% favorite over Polyana Viana in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).

Mallory Martin holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1601 to 1541, a 60-point edge.

Mallory Martin enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Polyana Viana enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Mallory Martin finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Polyana Viana 100%.

Mallory Martin and Polyana Viana share 1 common opponent: Hannah Cifers.

Polyana Viana carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinSubmission (rear-naked choke) · 2020
Hannah Cifers
Loss Decision · 2019