Combat Edge Intelligence

Mallory Martin vs Rayanne dos Santos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-6-0Record14-9-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'4"Height5'3"
63"Reach62"
116 lbsWeight115 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamMarajo Brothers

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mallory MartinNow 1601
If they win+16→ 1617
If they lose-16→ 1585
Rayanne dos SantosNow 1600
If they win+16→ 1616
If they lose-16→ 1584

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1556 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1516 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.42
Sig. strikes / min
4.36
49%
Strike accuracy
43%
6.64
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.20
55%
Strike defense
61%
2.28
Takedown avg.
0.33
44%
Takedown accuracy
13%
25%
Takedown defense
89%
0.33
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Mallory MartinRayanne dos Santos
155016002022202320242025

Win method breakdown

2 (20%)
KO/TKO
2 (14%)
2 (20%)
Submission
8 (57%)
6 (60%)
Decision
4 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Rayanne dos Santos60%
Mallory Martin 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Rayanne dos Santos a 60% favorite over Mallory Martin in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mallory Martin's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1601 vs 1600), separated by just 1 points.

Mallory Martin enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Mallory Martin finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Rayanne dos Santos 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.