Combat Edge Intelligence

Mallory Martin vs Sam Hughes

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Sam Hughes
us

Sam Hughes

“Sampage”

11-7-0StrawweightUFC

1605Solid

Tale of the tape

10-6-0Record11-7-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'4"Height5'5"
63"Reach64"
116 lbsWeight115 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamFortis MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mallory MartinNow 1601
If they win+16→ 1617
If they lose-16→ 1585
Sam HughesNow 1605
If they win+16→ 1621
If they lose-16→ 1589

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1556 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1636 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.42
Sig. strikes / min
4.34
49%
Strike accuracy
47%
6.64
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.44
55%
Strike defense
59%
2.28
Takedown avg.
1.23
44%
Takedown accuracy
35%
25%
Takedown defense
61%
0.33
Submission avg.
0.21

Trajectory

Mallory MartinSam Hughes
1550160020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (20%)
KO/TKO
2 (18%)
2 (20%)
Submission
4 (36%)
6 (60%)
Decision
5 (45%)

Combat Edge model read

Sam Hughes62%
Mallory Martin 38%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Sam Hughes a 62% favorite over Mallory Martin in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1601 vs 1605), separated by just 4 points.

Mallory Martin enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Mallory Martin finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Sam Hughes 55%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.