Combat Edge Intelligence

Mana Martinez vs Rafael Rebello

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-5-0Record9-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'10"Height5'5"
70"ReachTBD
137 lbsWeight135 lbs
Glory MMA & FitnessTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mana MartinezNow 1578
If they win+16→ 1594
If they lose-16→ 1562
Rafael RebelloNow 1577
If they win+16→ 1593
If they lose-16→ 1561

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1576 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.33
Sig. strikes / min
2.19
49%
Strike accuracy
33%
4.94
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.29
50%
Strike defense
58%
0.72
Takedown avg.
2.82
43%
Takedown accuracy
33%
25%
Takedown defense
75%
0.48
Submission avg.
0.47

Trajectory

Mana MartinezRafael Rebello
15501600165020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

8 (80%)
KO/TKO
1 (11%)
0 (0%)
Submission
6 (67%)
2 (20%)
Decision
2 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Mana Martinez and Rafael Rebello within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1578 vs 1577), separated by just 1 points.

Mana Martinez enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Rafael Rebello enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Mana Martinez finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Rafael Rebello 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.