Combat Edge Intelligence

Mana Martinez vs Shota Nagano

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-5-0Record12-6-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'10"Height5'5"
70"Reach-
137 lbsWeight133 lbs
Glory MMA & FitnessTeamReversal Gym Musashi Kosugi Tokoro Plus

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mana MartinezNow 1578
If they win+16→ 1594
If they lose-16→ 1562
Shota NaganoNow 1580
If they win+16→ 1596
If they lose-16→ 1564

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1576 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1494 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.33
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
49%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.94
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
50%
Strike defense
TBD
0.72
Takedown avg.
TBD
43%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
25%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.48
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Mana MartinezShota Nagano
1550160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (80%)
KO/TKO
1 (8%)
0 (0%)
Submission
6 (50%)
2 (20%)
Decision
5 (42%)

Combat Edge model read

Shota Nagano60%
Mana Martinez 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Shota Nagano a 60% favorite over Mana Martinez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1578 vs 1580), separated by just 2 points.

Mana Martinez enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Shota Nagano enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Mana Martinez finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Shota Nagano 58%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.