Mandel Nallo vs Stevie Ray
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-4-0Record26-13-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'10"
75"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Tristar GymTeamHigher Level MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1650
If they lose-16→ 1618
If they win+16→ 1649
If they lose-16→ 1617
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1524 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1683 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Mandel NalloStevie Ray
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mandel Nallo63%
Stevie Ray 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Mandel Nallo a 63% favorite over Stevie Ray in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1634 vs 1633), separated by just 1 points.
Stevie Ray enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Mandel Nallo finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Stevie Ray 62%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.