Combat Edge Intelligence

Mandel Nallo vs Yanal Ashmouz

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Mandel Nallo
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Mandel Nallo

“Rat Garbage / Mango”

14-4-0LightweightUFC

1635Solid

Tale of the tape

14-4-0Record8-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'9"
75"Reach68"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Tristar GymTeamK Dojo Warrior Tribe

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mandel NalloNow 1635
If they win+16→ 1651
If they lose-16→ 1619
Yanal AshmouzNow 1635
If they win+24→ 1659
If they lose-24→ 1611

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1524 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1578 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

8.61
Sig. strikes / min
2.94
63%
Strike accuracy
50%
2.58
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.54
73%
Strike defense
56%
0
Takedown avg.
4.80
0%
Takedown accuracy
50%
100%
Takedown defense
60%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Mandel NalloYanal Ashmouz
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (57%)
KO/TKO
4 (50%)
6 (43%)
Submission
2 (25%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Mandel Nallo60%
Yanal Ashmouz 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mandel Nallo a 60% favorite over Yanal Ashmouz in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1635 vs 1635), separated by just 0 points.

Mandel Nallo finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Yanal Ashmouz 75%.

Mandel Nallo carries a 7-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.