Combat Edge Intelligence

Mando Gutierrez vs Mateo Alejandro Vogel

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-3-0Record9-3-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'8"
TBDReachTBD
135 lbsWeight134 lbs
Murcielago MMA· 1703 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeam

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mando GutierrezNow 1630
If they win+16→ 1646
If they lose-16→ 1614
Mateo Alejandro VogelNow 1629
If they win+16→ 1645
If they lose-16→ 1613

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1550 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1544 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.80
Sig. strikes / min
4.47
75%
Strike accuracy
46%
1.33
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.87
50%
Strike defense
66%
1
Takedown avg.
1
100%
Takedown accuracy
17%
40%
Takedown defense
0%
1
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Mando GutierrezMateo Alejandro Vogel
160016502022202320242025

Win method breakdown

2 (22%)
KO/TKO
2 (22%)
6 (67%)
Submission
4 (44%)
1 (11%)
Decision
3 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Mando Gutierrez and Mateo Alejandro Vogel within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1630 vs 1629), separated by just 1 points.

Mando Gutierrez finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Mateo Alejandro Vogel 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.