Combat Edge Intelligence

Mando Gutierrez vs Mitch Gagnon

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-3-0Record12-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'6"
TBDReach65,5"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Murcielago MMA· 1703 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamTroop MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mando GutierrezNow 1630
If they win+16→ 1646
If they lose-16→ 1614
Mitch GagnonNow 1631
If they win+16→ 1647
If they lose-16→ 1615

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1550 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1601 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.80
Sig. strikes / min
2.76
75%
Strike accuracy
46%
1.33
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.21
50%
Strike defense
62%
1
Takedown avg.
1.16
100%
Takedown accuracy
25%
40%
Takedown defense
66%
1
Submission avg.
1.93

Trajectory

Mando GutierrezMitch Gagnon
16001650201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

2 (22%)
KO/TKO
1 (8%)
6 (67%)
Submission
10 (83%)
1 (11%)
Decision
1 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Mando Gutierrez63%
Mitch Gagnon 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mando Gutierrez a 63% favorite over Mitch Gagnon in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mitch Gagnon's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1630 vs 1631), separated by just 1 points.

Mitch Gagnon enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Mando Gutierrez finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Mitch Gagnon 92%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.