Combat Edge Intelligence

Manny Gamburyan vs Michihiro Omigawa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-10-0Record19-15-1
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'5"Height5'6"
67.00ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team HayastanTeamNeo Judo Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Manny GamburyanNow 1634
If they win+16→ 1650
If they lose-16→ 1618
Michihiro OmigawaNow 1644
If they win+12→ 1656
If they lose-12→ 1632

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1655 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1555 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.13
Sig. strikes / min
2.01
42%
Strike accuracy
40%
2.83
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.06
56%
Strike defense
64%
3.26
Takedown avg.
1.19
34%
Takedown accuracy
37%
69%
Takedown defense
49%
0.73
Submission avg.
1.51

Trajectory

Manny GamburyanMichihiro Omigawa
165020152016201720182019202020212022

Win method breakdown

2 (13%)
KO/TKO
5 (26%)
7 (47%)
Submission
5 (26%)
6 (40%)
Decision
9 (47%)

Combat Edge model read

Manny Gamburyan56%
Michihiro Omigawa 44%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Manny Gamburyan a 56% favorite over Michihiro Omigawa in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Michihiro Omigawa's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1634 vs 1644), separated by just 10 points.

Manny Gamburyan enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Manny Gamburyan finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Michihiro Omigawa 53%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.