Combat Edge Intelligence

Manny Gamburyan vs Nate Mohr

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Nate Mohr
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Nate Mohr

9-7-0LightweightTeam Curran MMA

1524Average

Tale of the tape

15-10-0Record9-7-0
BantamweightDivisionLightweight
5'5"Height5'9"
67.00ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team HayastanTeamTeam Curran

What's at stake

Manny Gamburyan is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Nate Mohr carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Manny GamburyanNow 1634
If they win+11→ 1645
If they lose-21→ 1613
Nate MohrNow 1524
If they win+21→ 1545
If they lose-11→ 1513

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1655 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.13
Sig. strikes / min
3.79
42%
Strike accuracy
42%
2.83
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.50
56%
Strike defense
75%
3.26
Takedown avg.
0.45
34%
Takedown accuracy
50%
69%
Takedown defense
71%
0.73
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Manny GamburyanNate Mohr
15001550160016502007200820092010201120122013201420152016

Win method breakdown

2 (13%)
KO/TKO
8 (89%)
7 (47%)
Submission
0 (0%)
6 (40%)
Decision
1 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Manny Gamburyan60%
Nate Mohr 40%Elo baseline: 65%

The Combat Edge model makes Manny Gamburyan a 60% favorite over Nate Mohr in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).

Manny Gamburyan holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1634 to 1524, a 110-point edge.

Manny Gamburyan enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Manny Gamburyan finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Nate Mohr 89%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.