Manny Gamburyan vs Nik Lentz
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-10-0Record30-12-2
BantamweightDivisionLightweight
5'5"Height5'8"
67.00ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team HayastanTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
Nik Lentz is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Manny Gamburyan carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1652
If they lose-14→ 1620
If they win+11→ 1681
If they lose-13→ 1657
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1655 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1697 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Manny GamburyanNik Lentz
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nik Lentz61%
Manny Gamburyan 39%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Nik Lentz a 61% favorite over Manny Gamburyan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Nik Lentz holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1670 to 1634, a 36-point edge.
Manny Gamburyan enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Nik Lentz enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Manny Gamburyan finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Nik Lentz 63%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.