Combat Edge Intelligence

Manny Gamburyan vs Rob Emerson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Rob Emerson
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Rob Emerson

“The Saint”

21-15-0BantamweightGP

1476Average

Tale of the tape

15-10-0Record21-15-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'5"Height5'8"
67.00ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Team HayastanTeamMMA Lab

What's at stake

Manny Gamburyan is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Rob Emerson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Manny GamburyanNow 1634
If they win+9→ 1643
If they lose-23→ 1611
Rob EmersonNow 1476
If they win+23→ 1499
If they lose-9→ 1467

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1655 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1592 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.13
Sig. strikes / min
2.50
42%
Strike accuracy
31%
2.83
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.83
56%
Strike defense
65%
3.26
Takedown avg.
2.02
34%
Takedown accuracy
53%
69%
Takedown defense
66%
0.73
Submission avg.
0.40

Trajectory

Manny GamburyanRob Emerson
1500155016001650201520162017

Win method breakdown

2 (13%)
KO/TKO
6 (29%)
7 (47%)
Submission
7 (33%)
6 (40%)
Decision
8 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Manny Gamburyan75%
Rob Emerson 25%Elo baseline: 71%

The Combat Edge model makes Manny Gamburyan a 75% favorite over Rob Emerson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (71%).

Manny Gamburyan holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1634 to 1476, a 158-point edge.

Manny Gamburyan enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Manny Gamburyan finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Rob Emerson 62%.

Manny Gamburyan and Rob Emerson share 1 common opponent: Nik Lentz.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossDecision - Unanimous · 2014
Nik Lentz
LossDecision - Unanimous · 2010