Combat Edge Intelligence

Manny Gamburyan vs Scott Jorgensen

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-10-0Record15-12-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'5"Height5'5"
67.00Reach37.00
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Team HayastanTeamTwisted Genetiks

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Manny GamburyanNow 1634
If they win+16→ 1650
If they lose-16→ 1618
Scott JorgensenNow 1628
If they win+16→ 1644
If they lose-16→ 1612

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1655 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1642 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.13
Sig. strikes / min
3.37
42%
Strike accuracy
40%
2.83
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.41
56%
Strike defense
65%
3.26
Takedown avg.
2.61
34%
Takedown accuracy
46%
69%
Takedown defense
60%
0.73
Submission avg.
0.73

Trajectory

Manny GamburyanScott Jorgensen
160016502013201420152016

Win method breakdown

2 (13%)
KO/TKO
2 (13%)
7 (47%)
Submission
5 (33%)
6 (40%)
Decision
8 (53%)

Combat Edge model read

Scott Jorgensen54%
Manny Gamburyan 46%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Scott Jorgensen a 54% favorite over Manny Gamburyan in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Manny Gamburyan's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1634 vs 1628), separated by just 6 points.

Manny Gamburyan enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Manny Gamburyan finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Scott Jorgensen 47%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.