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Combat Edge Intelligence

Manny Gamburyan vs Thiago Tavares

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

15-10-0Record24-11-1
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'5"Height5'7"
67.00Reach68,0"
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team HayastanTeamTeam Tavares

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Manny GamburyanNow 1635
If they win+17→ 1652
If they lose-15→ 1620
Thiago TavaresNow 1646
If they win+12→ 1658
If they lose-12→ 1634

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1657 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1586 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.13
Sig. strikes / min
2
42%
Strike accuracy
40%
2.83
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.31
56%
Strike defense
63%
3.26
Takedown avg.
3.83
34%
Takedown accuracy
43%
69%
Takedown defense
63%
0.73
Submission avg.
1.46

Trajectory

Manny GamburyanThiago Tavares
16502015201620172018201920202021

Win method breakdown

2 (13%)
KO/TKO
4 (17%)
7 (47%)
Submission
15 (63%)
6 (40%)
Decision
5 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Thiago Tavares54%
Manny Gamburyan 46%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Thiago Tavares a 54% favorite over Manny Gamburyan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1635 vs 1646), separated by just 11 points.

Manny Gamburyan enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Manny Gamburyan finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Thiago Tavares 79%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.