Combat Edge Intelligence

Manny Gamburyan vs Thiago Tavares

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-10-0Record24-11-1
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'5"Height5'7"
67.00Reach68,0"
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team HayastanTeamTeam Tavares

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Manny GamburyanNow 1634
If they win+17→ 1651
If they lose-15→ 1619
Thiago TavaresNow 1647
If they win+12→ 1659
If they lose-12→ 1635

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1656 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1588 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.13
Sig. strikes / min
2
42%
Strike accuracy
40%
2.83
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.31
56%
Strike defense
63%
3.26
Takedown avg.
3.83
34%
Takedown accuracy
43%
69%
Takedown defense
63%
0.73
Submission avg.
1.46

Trajectory

Manny GamburyanThiago Tavares
16502015201620172018201920202021

Win method breakdown

2 (13%)
KO/TKO
4 (17%)
7 (47%)
Submission
15 (63%)
6 (40%)
Decision
5 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Thiago Tavares60%
Manny Gamburyan 40%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Thiago Tavares a 60% favorite over Manny Gamburyan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1634 vs 1647), separated by just 13 points.

Manny Gamburyan enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Manny Gamburyan finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Thiago Tavares 79%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.