Manny Gamburyan vs Tyson Griffin
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-10-0Record17-8-0
BantamweightDivisionLightweight
5'5"Height5'6"
67.00ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team HayastanTeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy
What's at stake
Manny Gamburyan is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Tyson Griffin carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1648
If they lose-18→ 1616
If they win+18→ 1602
If they lose-14→ 1570
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1655 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1657 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Manny GamburyanTyson Griffin
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Manny Gamburyan53%
Tyson Griffin 47%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Manny Gamburyan a 53% favorite over Tyson Griffin in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Manny Gamburyan holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1634 to 1584, a 50-point edge.
Manny Gamburyan enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Manny Gamburyan finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Tyson Griffin 53%.
Manny Gamburyan and Tyson Griffin share 1 common opponent: Nik Lentz.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.