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Combat Edge Intelligence

Manny Tapia vs Pavel Vitruk

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Manny Tapia
us

Manny Tapia

“The Mangler”

12-4-1Bantamweight

1625Solid

Tale of the tape

12-4-1Record19-10-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'5"Height5'5"
TBDReach-
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Millennia MMATeamRaty Team· 1671 avg Elo · 14 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Manny TapiaNow 1625
If they win+16→ 1641
If they lose-16→ 1609
Pavel VitrukNow 1624
If they win+12→ 1636
If they lose-12→ 1612

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1566 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1597 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.69
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
21%
Strike accuracy
Not available
4.74
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
58%
Strike defense
Not available
0.49
Takedown avg.
Not available
40%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
67%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.24
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Manny TapiaPavel Vitruk
160016502011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (33%)
KO/TKO
5 (26%)
2 (17%)
Submission
1 (5%)
6 (50%)
Decision
13 (68%)

Combat Edge model read

Pavel Vitruk61%
Manny Tapia 39%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Pavel Vitruk a 61% favorite over Manny Tapia in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Manny Tapia's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1625 vs 1624), separated by just 1 points.

Manny Tapia enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Pavel Vitruk enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Manny Tapia finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Pavel Vitruk 32%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.