Manny Tapia vs Toshiomi Kazama
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-4-1Record11-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'5"Height5'7"
TBDReach 69"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1641
If they lose-16→ 1609
If they win+16→ 1639
If they lose-16→ 1607
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1566 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1568 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Manny TapiaToshiomi Kazama
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Toshiomi Kazama52%
Manny Tapia 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Toshiomi Kazama a 52% favorite over Manny Tapia in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Manny Tapia's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1625 vs 1623), separated by just 2 points.
Manny Tapia enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Manny Tapia finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Toshiomi Kazama 82%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.