Manoel Silva vs Nilson Rojas
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-3-0Record9-1-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'8"Height5'6"
TBDReach63"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Associacao Esportiva Filgueira de Jiu-JitsuTeamPitbull Martial Arts Center· 1659 avg Elo · 12 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1673
If they lose-16→ 1641
If they win+16→ 1673
If they lose-16→ 1641
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1480 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Manoel SilvaNilson Rojas
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nilson Rojas58%
Manoel Silva 42%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Nilson Rojas a 58% favorite over Manoel Silva in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Manoel Silva's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1657 vs 1657), separated by just 0 points.
Manoel Silva enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Manoel Silva finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Nilson Rojas 78%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.